Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:44:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab80…f3d8
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses10 / 9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)19 / 20
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 39¢ 48¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$9 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -0.8% -10.2% 53% 53% -3.7%
≤30d 19 -0.8% -10.2% 53% 53% -3.7%
≤90d 19 -0.8% -10.2% 53% 53% -3.7%
all 19 -0.8% -10.2% 53% 53% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 53% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 53% -12.9%
15% -26.7% 47% -21.3%
20% -33.9% 32% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.19 · official $10.65 · 31 history records