trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 12% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 29 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 48% | 14% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 14% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 10% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 19 | $402 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jun 19 | $155 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 05 | $800 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 05 | $300 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 05 | $254 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 13 | $280 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Apr 13 | $134 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 16 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hasanabi be unbanned from Twitch by March 31? | Feb 15 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be less than 1 | Jan 31 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January mee | Jan 31 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Congressional term limits in 2025? | Jan 31 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? | Jan 31 | $2 | $0 | +25% |
| Will Snowflake say "Hiring" during earnings call? | Dec 25 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Honor of Kings: FULL SENSE vs Hong Kong Attitude - Game 1 Winner | Dec 25 | $2 | −$1 | -46% |
| Open Championship – Hole in One? | Sep 01 | $2 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament? | Sep 01 | $4 | −$1 | -14% |
| Israel military action on Yemen before June? | Jul 15 | $4 | −$3 | -68% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by May 31? | Jul 15 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kieran Culkin win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Real Pa | May 23 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | Feb 12 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Olympiacos beat Twente? | Jan 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 12 | $329 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ajax beat Maccabi TLV? | Dec 06 | $13 | +$4 | +33% |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Nov 07 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Trump post about a memecoin before election? | Oct 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will there be less than 625 points scored NFL week 1? | Oct 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | Aug 13 | $813 | −$9 | -1% |