Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:17:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab77…be6a
crypto · 1434 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,024 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,024 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$1,024
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses891 / 543
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1434 / 1434
History coverage27d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day81.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 1434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$711
14 days−$1,388
30 days−$1,024
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$2 (+45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$1,260
other 15% +$76
sports 5% +$160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 474 -4.3% -13.4% 58% 44% -19.1%
≤30d 1434 -4.5% -13.6% 62% 43% -10.8%
≤90d 1434 -4.5% -13.6% 62% 43% -10.8%
all 1434 -4.5% -13.6% 62% 43% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 43% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 31% -19.3%
15% -29.4% 20% -27.1%
20% -36.4% 14% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.61 · official $7.61 (match) · 3500 history records