Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:02:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab71…2ada
sports · 163 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$631 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$432 · open −$200
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$432
Unrealized−$200
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses74 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$494
Open positions1
Markets (closed)162 / 163
History coverage44d
Avg bet$253
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,355
7 days+$2,355
14 days+$3,828
30 days+$1,851
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 35¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 41¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Eternal Fire 56¢ 0¢ $571 $0 −$571 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Dota 2: Stray Club vs Daxak Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B Stray Club 67¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 65¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage OG 27¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 25¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 37¢ 0¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis 31¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Legacy 37¢ 0¢ $293 $0 −$293 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner Sentinels 45¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 3 Winner Nigma Galaxy 50¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Power Rangers 29¢ 0¢ $390 $0 −$390 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner Tricked 53¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B DOGSENT 24¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $915 +$1,128 +123%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $304 +$278 +91%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $519 +$551 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $176 −$170 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $362 +$319 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $290 +$277 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $310 +$288 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $237 −$230 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $259 +$246 +95%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,039 −$1,020 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $274 +$265 +97%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $509 +$772 +152%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $168 −$165 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $203 +$154 +76%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $388 +$333 +86%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $152 +$181 +118%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner May 31 $712 +$835 +117%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Europ May 31 $983 +$718 +73%
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline May 31 $455 +$529 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 30 $134 +$116 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 30 $109 +$134 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 30 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 30 $144 +$144 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 30 $155 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 30 $75 −$72 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 30 $208 +$167 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 30 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 30 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 30 $83 +$65 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 30 $83 −$80 -96%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner May 30 $488 −$480 -98%
Dota 2: Stray Club vs Daxak Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B May 30 $505 −$500 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1,011 −$1,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu May 30 $438 −$430 -98%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $507 +$435 +86%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $489 −$480 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner May 30 $193 −$190 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 30 $304 +$196 +64%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner May 30 $755 +$256 +34%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner May 30 $202 +$127 +63%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner May 30 $262 +$136 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 29 $258 +$218 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 29 $124 −$120 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 29 $104 +$121 +116%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $530 +$493 +93%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $256 −$250 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $371 +$261 +70%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $304 −$300 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$80
crypto 21% −$231
other 1% −$480
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $2,043 0m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $915 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $582 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 35¢ $204 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $304 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 27¢ $153 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $278 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $241 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $176 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $111 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $251 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $243 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $47 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $286 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $25 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $207 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $212 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $259 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $1,039 25h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $539 25h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $274 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $1,281 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $509 29h
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 43¢ $168 8d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $357 8d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Yandex 100¢ $722 8d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 56¢ $203 8d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Yandex 53¢ $388 8d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Yandex 100¢ $333 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +31.5% +19.0% 64% 64% +29.1%
≤30d 138 -2.0% -11.4% 49% 49% -4.9%
≤90d 162 -7.8% -16.5% 46% 46% -10.5%
all 162 -7.8% -16.5% 46% 46% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.5% 46% -10.5%
10% -24.5% 45% -19.1%
15% -31.8% 44% -26.9%
20% -38.5% 43% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.29 · official $0.29 (match) · 260 history records