Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab52…172f
weather · 508 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$99 · open −$170
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,817
Realized+$99
Unrealized−$170
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses458 / 14
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions36
Markets (closed)472 / 508
History coverage31d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day34.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 36 History 472 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$31
14 days+$61
30 days+$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1,618 $1,470 −$149 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $81 $81 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $75 $75 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $75 $75 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $75 $75 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $75 $75 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $75 $75 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $75 $75 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $59 $59 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $54 $54 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $54 $54 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $53 $54 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $44 $45 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? No 97¢ 100¢ $44 $45 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? No 97¢ 100¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 −$6 -70%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $45 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $34 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $67 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $75 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $71 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $51 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $72 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $36 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $54 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $45 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 94°F or higher on June 11? Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $21 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? Jun 11 $75 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $23 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $75 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $27 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 44°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $59 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $44 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $53 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $18 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $80 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 12? Jun 11 $9 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 10? Jun 11 $27 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 10 Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $69 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $27 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $27 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 10? Jun 10 $54 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 9? Jun 10 $18 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 9? Jun 10 $16 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $75 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $54 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 90% +$95
other 6% −$149
sports 4% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $16 25m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $3 47m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $3 47m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $12 47m
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? SELL No 31¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? SELL No 50¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $14 4h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $9 5h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $2 6h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $35 6h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 6h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $10 7h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $25 7h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 86¢ $9 7h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 7h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $11 9h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $75 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $44 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $5 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $5 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $75 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $4 11h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $75 11h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $17 11h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $7 11h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $75 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 +0.2% -9.3% 94% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 441 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 472 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 0% -9.1%
all 472 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 0% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 0% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,817.11 · official $2,817.11 (match) · 1544 history records