Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab51…2473
crypto · 501 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$54,200 +78%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54,710 · open −$635
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$7,605
Realized+$54,710
Unrealized−$635
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses75 / 383
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions42
Markets (closed)458 / 501
Avg bet$139
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 42 History 458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,048
7 days+$19,336
14 days+$48,780
30 days+$54,143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Yes 13¢ 19¢ $740 $1,084 +$345 (+47%)
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No 35¢ 32¢ $815 $736 −$79 (-10%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $1,020 $702 −$318 (-31%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $720 $656 −$64 (-9%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $715 $588 −$127 (-18%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 5¢ 10¢ $253 $482 +$229 (+90%)
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No 13¢ 13¢ $449 $454 +$5 (+1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $553 $418 −$135 (-24%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $383 $363 −$20 (-5%)
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 25¢ 28¢ $193 $218 +$25 (+13%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? Yes 26¢ 34¢ $150 $195 +$45 (+30%)
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes 13¢ 18¢ $135 $192 +$57 (+42%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? No 2¢ 2¢ $139 $183 +$44 (+32%)
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 32¢ 38¢ $153 $181 +$28 (+18%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $259 $163 −$97 (-37%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? Yes 10¢ 14¢ $100 $149 +$49 (+49%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $226 $107 −$120 (-53%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No 31¢ 48¢ $61 $96 +$35 (+58%)
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $77 $88 +$11 (+15%)
Will XRP dip to $0.90 June 8-14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $89 $77 −$12 (-13%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $71 $71 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $72 $68 −$4 (-5%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? No 10¢ 70¢ $7 $46 +$40 (+600%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $45 $43 −$3 (-6%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $41 +$352 +850%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $566 +$757 +134%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $32 −$31 -96%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? Jun 11 $124 +$94 +76%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $126 −$126 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10? Jun 10 $95 −$91 -96%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9? Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? Jun 10 $239 +$147 +62%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10? Jun 10 $22 −$21 -96%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 10? Jun 10 $76 −$71 -94%
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? Jun 10 $39 +$34 +86%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 10 $180 +$75 +42%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 10 $23 +$9 +37%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10? Jun 10 $58 −$56 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 10 $112 −$110 -98%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 10? Jun 10 $100 −$97 -97%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June? Jun 10 $776 +$421 +54%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 10? Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 10? Jun 10 $112 −$108 -96%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 09 $187 +$116 +62%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? Jun 09 $442 −$442 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 3? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Solana dip to $70 on June 2? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 23? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 22? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 3? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Solana dip to $50 June 1-7? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26? Jun 09 $86 −$22 -26%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 4? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 22? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 18-24? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will XRP dip to $0.85 on June 6? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 7? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 26? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31? Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 09 $75 −$75 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 09 $96 −$96 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1? Jun 09 $36 −$36 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? Jun 09 $13 −$13 -100%
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? Jun 09 $96 −$95 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% +$23,151
other 34% +$22,691
finance 17% +$4,749
tech 2% +$694
world 1% +$2,796
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June? BUY Yes 1¢ $49 10m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $0 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $1 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $1 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $1 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $1 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $1 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $1 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $0 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $3 30m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $5 39m
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY Yes 7¢ $256 53m
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY Yes 7¢ $458 56m
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY Yes 5¢ $53 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 5¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $2 4h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $6 4h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $2 5h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $6 7h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $2 10h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $82 10h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $4 12h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $8 12h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $1 12h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 13¢ $200 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -9.4% -18.1% 12% 12% +77.7%
≤30d 239 +64.4% +48.8% 22% 21% +101.3%
≤90d 458 +20.3% +8.8% 16% 16% +42.8%
all 458 +20.3% +8.8% 16% 16% +42.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.8% 16% +42.8%
10% ← realistic here -1.6% 16% +29.2%
15% -11.1% 15% +16.7%
20% -19.8% 14% +5.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,605.20 · official $7,605.20 (match) · 3500 history records