Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:18:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab47…32b8
crypto · 189 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$21 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses93 / 96
Open positions0
Markets (closed)189 / 189
History coverage59d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$37
14 days+$42
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +7.3% -2.9% 47% 46% -12.1%
≤30d 179 +6.9% -3.3% 49% 49% -10.6%
≤90d 189 +5.6% -4.5% 49% 49% -12.6%
all 189 +5.6% -4.5% 49% 49% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.5% 49% -12.6%
10% -13.6% 48% -21.0%
15% -21.9% 45% -28.6%
20% -29.6% 39% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.33 · official $0.00 (match) · 408 history records