Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:08:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AB 0xab42…1db1 crypto 59 markets active 2d ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$7 (+3%) realized +$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate46%27W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day15.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -13.8% -22.0% 47% 45% -15.0%
≤30d 59 -11.5% -19.9% 46% 44% -10.0%
≤90d 59 -11.5% -19.9% 46% 44% -10.0%
all 59 -11.5% -19.9% 46% 44% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.9% 44% -10.0%
10% -27.6% 41% -18.7%
15% -34.6% 39% -26.5%
20% -41.0% 36% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$3 · ×1.17 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses27 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 59
History coverage7d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 59 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$5 +240%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$2 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +99%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$4 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -74%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$8 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$7 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$7 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$4 -84%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$4 +120%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $9 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $8 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 119 history records