Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:49:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab2e…09b2
sports · 42 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$16 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$17
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses20 / 16
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions6
Markets (closed)36 / 42
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day38.5
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 63¢ 58¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 79¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 35¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-47%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 14 $20 +$5 +27%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +103%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2 +$6 +278%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 -6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +77%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$4 +137%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 +$4 +121%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$6 +72%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $13 +$7 +53%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$4 +414%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +118%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 −$5 -56%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -17%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$11
world 11% +$5
other 8% −$1
crypto 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 45¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 64¢ $10 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 61¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 100¢ $11 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 83¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 77¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 90¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 100¢ $0 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 100¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 70¢ $6 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 1¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 60¢ $5 8h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 48¢ $10 8h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 48¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 53¢ $9 9h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 54¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 9h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL MOUZ 99¢ $6 9h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 48¢ $3 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 58¢ $4 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 67¢ $3 10h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 60¢ $3 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 26¢ $1 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 16¢ $3 13h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 13¢ $2 13h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +20.2% +8.8% 56% 50% +0.9%
≤30d 36 +20.2% +8.8% 56% 50% +0.9%
≤90d 36 +20.2% +8.8% 56% 50% +0.9%
all 36 +20.2% +8.8% 56% 50% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.8% 50% +0.9%
10% ← realistic here -1.6% 44% -8.7%
15% -11.1% 39% -17.5%
20% -19.8% 33% -25.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.95 · official $28.96 (match) · 83 history records