Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab24…c4a5
sports · 6 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$46 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$45
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage62d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $53 $53 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $11 +$42 +376%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$25
other 36% −$1
crypto 13% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $54 1h
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? BUY No 2¢ $44 47d
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league? BUY Yes 10¢ $15 61d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $20 61d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 21¢ $11 61d
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 9¢ $9 61d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -4.8% -13.8% 20% 20% -50.9%
≤30d 5 -4.8% -13.8% 20% 20% -50.9%
≤90d 5 -4.8% -13.8% 20% 20% -50.9%
all 5 -4.8% -13.8% 20% 20% -50.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 20% -50.9%
10% -22.1% 20% -55.6%
15% -29.6% 20% -59.9%
20% -36.5% 20% -63.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.81 · official $52.81 (match) · 13 history records