Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:13:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab24…ec46
other · 48 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$67 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized+$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses18 / 24
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions6
Markets (closed)42 / 48
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 6 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$75
14 days+$75
30 days+$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $13 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Patrik Schick: 2+ Goals Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals Yes 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $15 +$6 +37%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 +$27 +132%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $7 −$2 -23%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 −$4 -40%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -34%
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +81%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +64%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$8 +78%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$11 +107%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$6 +121%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -72%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -61%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$11 +112%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Lee Kangin: 1+ goals Jun 12 $2 −$2 -89%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 +$10 +463%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$10 +95%
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Patrik Schick: 2+ Goals Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $15 +$6 +39%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $9 +$14 +146%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 −$1 -3%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $6 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$12
sports 46% +$86
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 54m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $8 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $16 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $47 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $12 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 17¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 7¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $6 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 72¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2h
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals BUY Yes 46¢ $10 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $15 5h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $7 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $20 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 20¢ $6 5h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 35¢ $13 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $4 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 19¢ $5 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 82¢ $18 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $21 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +3.1% -6.7% 43% 40% +13.3%
≤30d 42 +3.1% -6.7% 43% 40% +13.3%
≤90d 42 +3.1% -6.7% 43% 40% +13.3%
all 42 +3.1% -6.7% 43% 40% +13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 40% +13.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 36% +2.5%
15% -23.8% 33% -7.4%
20% -31.3% 29% -16.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.06 · official $39.07 (match) · 98 history records