Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:14:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
AB 0xab19…a501 crypto 101 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$37 (+1%) realized +$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%101W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day42.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 +1.4% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 101 +1.4% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 101 +1.4% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
all 101 +1.4% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 0% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses101 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)101 / 101
History coverage3d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 101 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $46 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $71 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $52 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $83 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $37 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $63 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $46 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $93 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $57 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $42 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 210 history records