Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab03…4494
crypto · 475 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,406 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,407 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$270
Realized−$1,407
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses420 / 536
Open positions6
Markets (closed)956 / 475
History coverage2d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day1575.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 956 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,407
7 days−$1,407
14 days−$1,407
30 days−$1,407
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 66¢ 66¢ $66 $65 −$1 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 63¢ 82¢ $37 $49 +$12 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 76¢ $15 $23 +$8 (+53%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+175%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+335%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+285%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+270%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+137%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$8 -968%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +449%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -485%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1357%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +953%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$4 -442%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1007%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -1204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -497%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$5 -897%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -381%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$7 -934%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +502%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +813%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +3080%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$4 -560%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +514%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$27 -4250%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 3¢ $1 7m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 97¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 66¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL No 86¢ $17 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 14m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 15m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 4¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 17m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 20m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 21m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 22m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $10 22m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $10 22m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 97¢ $10 22m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 97¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+92.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 956 +113.3% +92.9% 44% 35% -8.9%
≤30d 956 +113.3% +92.9% 44% 35% -8.9%
≤90d 956 +113.3% +92.9% 44% 35% -8.9%
all 956 +113.3% +92.9% 44% 35% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1575.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +92.9% 35% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here +74.5% 30% -17.6%
15% +57.6% 25% -25.6%
20% +42.2% 22% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $270.07 · official $164.22 · 3500 history records