trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +20.3% | +8.8% | 67% | 67% | +25.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 55% | 55% | -4.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 55% | 55% | -4.7% |
| all | 78 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 59% | 58% | -7.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.2% | 58% | -7.4% |
| 10% | -13.3% | 58% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -21.7% | 51% | -24.4% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 36% | -31.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-2.5) | France | 57¢ | 56¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Argentina | 40¢ | 40¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $203 | +$155 | +76% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $303 | +$151 | +50% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $202 | +$101 | +50% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $130 | +$189 | +146% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $115 | +$126 | +109% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $152 | +$142 | +93% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $202 | −$130 | -64% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 13 | $232 | −$230 | -99% |
| Hornets vs. Clippers | Feb 23 | $414 | −$116 | -28% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Jan 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Mavericks | Jan 18 | $6 | +$4 | +60% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Jan 18 | $350 | −$344 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Knicks | Jan 18 | $530 | −$529 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder | Jan 17 | $350 | +$206 | +59% |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Jan 12 | $350 | −$350 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Jan 12 | $350 | +$170 | +49% |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | Jan 12 | $312 | −$57 | -18% |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Jan 12 | $350 | −$85 | -24% |
| Bucks vs. Magic | Jan 11 | $355 | +$174 | +49% |
| Thunder vs. Knicks | Jan 11 | $357 | +$227 | +64% |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | Jan 05 | $523 | +$189 | +36% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Jan 05 | $173 | +$120 | +69% |
| Knicks vs. Bulls | Jan 05 | $500 | −$284 | -57% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Jan 05 | $36 | −$21 | -59% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Jan 05 | $500 | −$464 | -93% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04? | Jan 04 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | Jan 04 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04? | Jan 04 | $500 | +$393 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Jan 04 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Mavericks | Jan 04 | $500 | +$117 | +24% |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | Jan 04 | $500 | +$222 | +44% |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Jan 04 | $500 | +$273 | +55% |
| Hawks vs. Lakers | Jan 04 | $500 | +$358 | +72% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Jan 01 | $500 | +$204 | +41% |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | Jan 01 | $500 | +$361 | +72% |
| Clippers vs. Spurs | Jan 01 | $500 | +$306 | +61% |
| Bucks vs. Pacers | Jan 01 | $500 | +$443 | +89% |
| Pistons vs. Nuggets | Dec 29 | $508 | +$224 | +44% |
| Bucks vs. Bulls | Dec 29 | $500 | +$264 | +53% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Dec 28 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Dec 28 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Dec 28 | $500 | +$235 | +47% |
| Spurs vs. Nets | Dec 28 | $573 | +$200 | +35% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Dec 28 | $279 | −$279 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | Dec 28 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Suns | Dec 28 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Heat | Dec 28 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY Yes | 45¢ | $102 | 1h |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY France | 57¢ | $203 | 1h |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY Argentina | 40¢ | $204 | 1h |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 56¢ | $203 | 20h |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY Yes | 68¢ | $101 | 33h |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY Portugal | 51¢ | $101 | 5d |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 66¢ | $303 | 5d |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY France | 40¢ | $130 | 5d |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 66¢ | $202 | 5d |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 56¢ | $203 | 7d |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | BUY Over | 47¢ | $115 | 7d |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | BUY Germany | 51¢ | $152 | 7d |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | SELL Yes | 22¢ | $73 | 8d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $232 | 8d |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 59¢ | $202 | 8d |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 56¢ | $10 | 520d |
| Thunder vs. Mavericks | SELL Mavericks | 99¢ | $10 | 520d |
| Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY Mavericks | 62¢ | $6 | 520d |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | SELL Bulls | 1¢ | $6 | 520d |
| Timberwolves vs. Knicks | SELL Knicks | 0¢ | $1 | 520d |
| Timberwolves vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 64¢ | $180 | 520d |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | BUY Bulls | 62¢ | $350 | 520d |
| Timberwolves vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 64¢ | $350 | 520d |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder | BUY Thunder | 63¢ | $350 | 521d |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | SELL Trail Blazers | 1¢ | $3 | 526d |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | BUY Trail Blazers | 23¢ | $100 | 526d |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | SELL Heat | 76¢ | $239 | 526d |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | SELL Heat | 76¢ | $12 | 526d |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers | BUY Heat | 64¢ | $212 | 526d |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | BUY Timberwolves | 53¢ | $350 | 526d |