| Will Biden finish his term? |
Jun 29 |
$61 |
+$3,065 |
+5006% |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote? |
Jan 17 |
$410 |
−$410 |
-100% |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024? |
Jan 17 |
$810 |
+$755 |
+93% |
| OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? |
Jan 17 |
$0 |
+$625 |
+1769798% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Ele |
Dec 03 |
$20,022 |
−$14,403 |
-72% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi |
Dec 03 |
$56,171 |
−$52,038 |
-93% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electio |
Dec 03 |
$38 |
+$181 |
+477% |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34 |
Dec 03 |
$387 |
+$1,179 |
+305% |
| Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Seas |
Dec 03 |
$198 |
−$198 |
-100% |
| Trump wins every swing state? |
Dec 03 |
$1,440 |
−$1,440 |
-100% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House |
Dec 03 |
$432 |
−$432 |
-100% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? |
Dec 03 |
$25,003 |
+$45,875 |
+184% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elec |
Dec 03 |
$7,128 |
−$6,504 |
-91% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House |
Dec 03 |
$938 |
+$2,107 |
+225% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? |
Nov 10 |
$1,267 |
−$673 |
-53% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Nov 10 |
$26,730 |
+$40,924 |
+153% |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? |
Nov 10 |
$10,207 |
+$4,664 |
+46% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Nov 10 |
$11,812 |
+$2,265 |
+19% |
| Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election? |
Nov 05 |
$100 |
+$60 |
+60% |
| Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Seas |
Nov 05 |
$1,548 |
+$266 |
+17% |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in October? |
Nov 05 |
$2,905 |
+$595 |
+20% |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election? |
Oct 30 |
$1,856 |
+$233 |
+13% |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election? |
Oct 13 |
$594 |
+$1,098 |
+185% |
| Trump blowout victory? |
Oct 10 |
$2,627 |
+$30 |
+1% |
| East coast port strike ends by next Friday? |
Oct 04 |
$6,794 |
+$86 |
+1% |
| East coast port strike ends by Friday? |
Oct 04 |
$1,053 |
+$2 |
+0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? |
Sep 24 |
$50 |
+$73 |
+146% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024? |
Sep 24 |
$8 |
+$192 |
+2318% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? |
Sep 24 |
$832 |
+$470 |
+56% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? |
Sep 24 |
$11,676 |
+$759 |
+6% |
| Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Sep 18 |
$1,611 |
+$7,935 |
+493% |
| Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting? |
Sep 18 |
$218 |
−$181 |
-83% |
| Trump posts 25-29 times on X? |
Sep 05 |
$3,451 |
+$54 |
+2% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the World Series? |
Sep 04 |
$21,357 |
+$43 |
+0% |
| US Open: Muchova vs. Haddad Maia |
Sep 04 |
$1,555 |
+$605 |
+39% |
| US Open: Zverev vs. Nakashima |
Sep 02 |
$3,317 |
−$753 |
-23% |
| US Open: Popyrin vs. Tiafoe |
Sep 02 |
$2,404 |
−$2,404 |
-100% |
| Fed emergency rate cut in August? |
Sep 01 |
$18,645 |
+$498 |
+3% |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31? |
Sep 01 |
$31,847 |
+$3,888 |
+12% |
| Trump fires campaign manager in August? |
Sep 01 |
$7,734 |
+$1,072 |
+14% |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? |
Sep 01 |
$151,129 |
+$7,953 |
+5% |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address? |
Aug 24 |
$1,040 |
+$210 |
+20% |
| Trump posts 20-29 times on X? |
Aug 24 |
$334 |
+$1,893 |
+567% |
| Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC? |
Aug 23 |
$13,957 |
+$2,513 |
+18% |
| Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC? |
Aug 23 |
$21,390 |
+$1,044 |
+5% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech? |
Aug 23 |
$115 |
−$115 |
-100% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC |
Aug 23 |
$121 |
−$121 |
-100% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Weird" or "Weirdo" during DNC speech? |
Aug 23 |
$1,869 |
−$1,365 |
-73% |
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC? |
Aug 23 |
$90,494 |
+$588 |
+1% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Oakland" during DNC speech? |
Aug 23 |
$1,040 |
+$10 |
+1% |