trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +12.6% | +1.8% | 45% | 9% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +12.6% | +1.8% | 45% | 9% | -10.1% |
| all | 29 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 45% | 10% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.7% | 10% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -14.7% | 10% | -21.1% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 10% | -28.7% |
| 20% | -30.5% | 7% | -35.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 91¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 19 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $55 | −$1 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 27 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $40 | +$2 | +5% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $27 | −$3 | -12% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 22 | $26 | −$1 | -4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 20 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on June 17? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Giants draft Cameron Ward? | Apr 27 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 21 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati | Mar 07 | $49 | −$18 | -38% |
| Stanford vs. Notre Dame | Mar 05 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Evansville vs. Murray State | Mar 05 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get 42-46m viewers? | Mar 05 | $39 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Uni | Mar 04 | $58 | $0 | -0% |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | Mar 04 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Brentford vs. Everton end in a draw? | Mar 04 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Toledo vs. Kent State | Mar 04 | $42 | +$16 | +37% |
| St. Louis vs. Davidson | Feb 25 | $54 | $0 | +1% |
| Austin Peay vs. West Georgia | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| North Florida vs. Florida Gulf Coast | Feb 25 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February | Feb 25 | $59 | −$5 | -9% |