Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:28:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaac8…bff1
crypto · 1103 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$34 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses558 / 545
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1103 / 1103
History coverage84d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$20
14 days−$56
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$12 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$9 +377%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$58
other 1% −$25
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 +1.2% -8.4% 50% 50% -12.3%
≤30d 495 +3.4% -6.4% 51% 49% -9.3%
≤90d 1103 +4.4% -5.6% 51% 49% -8.9%
all 1103 +4.4% -5.6% 51% 49% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 49% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 47% -17.6%
15% -22.8% 43% -25.6%
20% -30.4% 38% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records