Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:47:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
AA 0xaac4…9ac6 crypto 1697 markets active 0h ago coverage 68d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 68d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$488 (+2%) realized +$488 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1665W / 32L
Drawdown27%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day26.3pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$1
14 days+$37
30 days+$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 81% +$64
other 19% +$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 269 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 1% -9.5%
≤30d 807 +0.6% -9.0% 99% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 1697 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 1% -9.0%
all 1697 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 1% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 1% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.7%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$8 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.5 per $1 lost it wins $1.5
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$488
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1665 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1697 / 1697
History coverage68d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day26.3
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1697 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $6 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records