trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 15% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 15% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 15% | 0% | -12.9% |
| all | 20 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 15% | 0% | -12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.8% | 0% | -12.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -35.6% | 0% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 0% | -28.9% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 0% | -35.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? | Jun 22 | $123 | −$9 | -8% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 22 | $299 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m | Jun 22 | $91 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Jun 22 | $273 | −$3 | -1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 20 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 19 | $400 | −$8 | -2% |
| United States to win the second half? | Jun 19 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $9 | −$2 | -19% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $28 | −$7 | -25% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $4 | −$1 | -27% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $6 | −$2 | -36% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 19 | $87 | −$5 | -6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 | Jun 19 | $102 | −$4 | -4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Jun 19 | $80 | −$14 | -18% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $8 | −$3 | -34% |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $0 | $0 | -100% |