trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 20% | 10% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 20% | 10% | -9.5% |
| all | 29 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 38% | 3% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 3% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 21 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $14 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 27 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 19 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$1 | -28% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 15 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix? | Jun 14 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Salzburg win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in June? | Jun 12 | $23 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13? | Jun 11 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 11 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 11 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 10 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair? | Jun 09 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 09 | $22 | $0 | +0% |