Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:14:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AA 0xaab1…ffe9 crypto 1056 markets active 0h ago coverage 52d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 52d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$655 (-1%) realized −$655 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate64%672W / 384L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$79per market
Trades / day54.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$285
7 days+$580
14 days+$288
30 days−$1,875
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +8.3% -2.0% 72% 64% +6.5%
≤30d 566 -2.3% -11.6% 62% 51% -13.3%
≤90d 1056 -1.3% -10.7% 64% 47% -10.4%
all 1056 -1.3% -10.7% 64% 47% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 47% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 29% -18.9%
15% -27.0% 20% -26.8%
20% -34.2% 13% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$34 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$655
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses672 / 384
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1056 / 1056
History coverage52d ⚠
Avg bet$79
Trades / day54.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1056 Trades
no open positions (76 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $104 +$106 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $103 −$101 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $103 +$45 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $104 +$95 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$29 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$34 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $102 −$72 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $103 +$46 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $102 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$12 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $103 +$57 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $102 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$25 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $103 +$51 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $102 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $82 +$17 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $103 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $103 +$75 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $101 −$35 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $204 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $103 +$49 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $102 +$41 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $104 +$88 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 09 $72 +$35 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $163 −$35 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 09 $98 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $90 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $61 +$29 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $148 −$63 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $52 −$41 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $102 +$29 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $204 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 08 $80 −$40 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $102 −$31 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 08 $71 −$9 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $209 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $199 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $131 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $102 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $137 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $112 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $132 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $102 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $149 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $141 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $4 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records