trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -34.6% | -40.8% | 23% | 23% | -34.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -38.6% | -44.4% | 25% | 25% | -68.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -38.6% | -44.4% | 25% | 25% | -68.9% |
| all | 16 | -38.6% | -44.4% | 25% | 25% | -68.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.4% | 25% | -68.9% |
| 10% | -49.7% | 25% | -71.9% |
| 15% | -54.6% | 19% | -74.6% |
| 20% | -59.0% | 19% | -77.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 43¢ | 40¢ | $321 | $295 | −$26 (-8%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 51¢ | 44¢ | $153 | $130 | −$22 (-15%) |
| Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 24¢ | $160 | $118 | −$42 (-27%) |
| Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 35¢ | 38¢ | $70 | $75 | +$5 (+7%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | No | 54¢ | 54¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | United States | 35¢ | 34¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 34¢ | 24¢ | $35 | $25 | −$10 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic? | Jun 18 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $50 | +$50 | +101% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $41 | +$59 | +146% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $43 | −$42 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $28 | −$27 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$23 | +222% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $94 | −$93 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 08 | $76 | +$24 | +32% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $497 | −$491 | -99% |