trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +13.4% | +2.6% | 100% | 71% | -4.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 83% | 58% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 153 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 67% | 31% | -8.1% |
| all | 577 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 65% | 32% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -11.0% | 32% | -7.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -19.5% | 17% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 9% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 6% | -32.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1,004 | +$124 | +12% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $502 | +$86 | +17% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $503 | +$71 | +14% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5,002 | +$49 | +1% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5,001 | +$49 | +1% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $303 | +$74 | +24% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1,229 | +$292 | +24% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5,837 | −$612 | -10% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $104 | +$78 | +76% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $1,532 | +$90 | +6% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $716 | −$192 | -27% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $307 | +$93 | +30% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $21,015 | +$599 | +3% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $815 | −$157 | -19% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $1,008 | +$221 | +22% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $8,053 | +$340 | +4% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $1,012 | −$398 | -39% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $8,063 | +$1,873 | +23% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $505 | +$122 | +24% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $9,037 | +$476 | +5% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $1,007 | +$284 | +28% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $1,513 | −$93 | -6% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $6,025 | +$933 | +16% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $409 | −$167 | -41% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $306 | −$218 | -71% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $353 | −$272 | -77% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $1,004 | −$321 | -32% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $1,008 | −$375 | -37% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $304 | +$213 | +70% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $505 | −$39 | -8% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $1,012 | −$368 | -36% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $14,017 | +$608 | +4% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 29 | $5,007 | +$256 | +5% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $1,006 | +$13 | +1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $1,000 | +$210 | +21% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $2,000 | +$451 | +23% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $2,000 | −$438 | -22% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $300 | −$119 | -40% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $2,000 | −$1,150 | -58% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $1,000 | −$255 | -26% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 25 | $500 | +$212 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $2,300 | −$762 | -33% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $300 | +$168 | +56% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $1,000 | −$46 | -5% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $300 | −$72 | -24% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $1,000 | −$180 | -18% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 23 | $7,000 | +$572 | +8% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 23 | $1,500 | +$461 | +31% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $3,000 | −$1,478 | -49% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $7,000 | −$575 | -8% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | SELL Yes | 99¢ | $1,127 | 51m |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 87¢ | $502 | 1h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 89¢ | $502 | 1h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY No | 85¢ | $502 | 4h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | SELL Yes | 95¢ | $573 | 5h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 83¢ | $503 | 6h |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $5,051 | 2d |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 99¢ | $5,002 | 2d |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 99¢ | $5,001 | 2d |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | SELL Yes | 81¢ | $378 | 3d |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $303 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 23¢ | $270 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 25¢ | $11 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 19¢ | $78 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 18¢ | $307 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 27¢ | $393 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 20¢ | $307 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 24¢ | $399 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 18¢ | $307 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 24¢ | $370 | 6d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 19¢ | $307 | 6d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL Spurs | 88¢ | $5,039 | 8d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 87¢ | $5,019 | 8d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL Knicks | 5¢ | $185 | 8d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 7¢ | $103 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 18¢ | $102 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 22¢ | $102 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 34¢ | $102 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 35¢ | $102 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 38¢ | $306 | 9d |