Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa8e…0ec2
crypto · 1153 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$29 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses850 / 303
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1153 / 1153
History coverage101d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 +4.5% -5.5% 77% 53% -7.7%
≤30d 137 +4.5% -5.5% 77% 53% -7.7%
≤90d 426 -0.8% -10.2% 71% 60% -11.2%
all 1153 -0.9% -10.3% 74% 57% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 57% -10.8%
10% -18.9% 14% -19.3%
15% -26.7% 4% -27.1%
20% -33.9% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2522 history records