Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:24:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AA 0xaa7d…e470 other 8 markets active 5d ago coverage 4d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1 (-2%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day5.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit12%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 94% −$2
sports 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -4.1% -13.2% 0% 0% -15.8%
≤30d 8 -3.7% -12.9% 0% 0% -14.3%
≤90d 8 -3.7% -12.9% 0% 0% -14.3%
all 8 -3.7% -12.9% 0% 0% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 0% -14.3%
10% -21.2% 0% -22.5%
15% -28.8% 0% -30.0%
20% -35.8% 0% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 8 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $18 −$2 -8%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $17 −$1 -3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $3 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 57¢ $2 4d
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 4d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 89¢ $1 5d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 89¢ $2 5d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 89¢ $2 5d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 89¢ $2 5d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 5d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 5d
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 39¢ $17 6d
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 41¢ $18 6d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 69¢ $5 7d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 7d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 69¢ $11 7d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 7d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 7d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 7d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 75¢ $2 7d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $2 7d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez SELL Leylah Fernandez 71¢ $3 8d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 72¢ $1 8d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 72¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 21 history records