Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T17:09:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AA 0xaa7b…0c1a other 6 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ net negative once open positions are counted! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,701 (-21%) realized +$479 · open −$2,180
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,380per market
Trades / day26.6pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$5,900now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$2,231
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
10.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$51 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$5,900
Realized+$479
Unrealized−$2,180
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1,380
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open? Yes 13¢ 8¢ $5,614 $3,634 −$1,980 (-35%)
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $2,294 $2,110 −$184 (-8%)
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $120 $112 −$8 (-6%)
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 U.S. Open? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $44 $37 −$7 (-17%)
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 U.S. Open? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 U.S. Open? Jun 18 $52 −$51 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 51m
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 56m
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 57m
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $36 58m
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $60 58m
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 58m
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 9¢ $7 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,899.68 · official $6,342.27 · 60 history records