Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:49:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa59…efe9
crypto · 2019 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$2,091 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,846 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,846
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses1040 / 793
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1833 / 2019
History coverage50d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day47.3
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1833 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$387
7 days+$2,400
14 days+$4,847
30 days+$7,030
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$22 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $682 +$164 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$87 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$24 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$10 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$29 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $83 +$45 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $152 +$121 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$46 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$51 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$10 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$76 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,936
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $22 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $682 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $90 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $46 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $52 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $83 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $152 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $65 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $24 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $86 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $28 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $11 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 +22.1% +10.5% 65% 65% +13.9%
≤30d 1055 +18.0% +6.8% 62% 62% +18.6%
≤90d 1833 +8.1% -2.2% 57% 57% +10.9%
all 1833 +8.1% -2.2% 57% 57% +10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.2% 57% +10.9%
10% ← realistic here -11.6% 56% +0.3%
15% -20.1% 56% -9.4%
20% -28.0% 55% -18.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records