trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 100% | 100% | +3.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 57% | 14% | -7.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 57% | 14% | -7.1% |
| all | 22 | -11.4% | -19.8% | 41% | 5% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.8% | 5% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -27.5% | 0% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -34.5% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -40.9% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $37 | +$5 | +14% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 04 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jun 27 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | May 22 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 22 | $6 | −$3 | -45% |
| Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | May 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | May 19 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening | May 17 | $3 | −$1 | -38% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 17 | $14 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2? | May 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 24 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Opus' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +2% |