Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:07:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa49…d53e
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$47 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized+$47
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)3 / 6
History coverage9d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 3 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$47
14 days+$47
30 days+$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$32 +106%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $40 +$17 +41%
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Jun 11 $27 −$2 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$48
politics 14% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $30 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $30 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $63 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $30 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $57 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $20 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $20 2d
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL No 32¢ $12 2d
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? SELL Yes 67¢ $13 2d
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 37¢ $7 6d
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY No 38¢ $8 6d
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $12 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+33.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +47.2% +33.2% 67% 67% +34.1%
≤30d 3 +47.2% +33.2% 67% 67% +34.1%
≤90d 3 +47.2% +33.2% 67% 67% +34.1%
all 3 +47.2% +33.2% 67% 67% +34.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +33.2% 67% +34.1%
10% +20.4% 67% +21.3%
15% +8.8% 67% +9.6%
20% -1.9% 33% -1.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.32 · official $89.33 (match) · 13 history records