Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa41…6dff
sports · 5 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$208 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$250 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized+$250
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$128
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$250
7 days+$250
14 days+$250
30 days+$250
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 43¢ 18¢ $74 $32 −$42 (-57%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $253 +$126 +50%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $114 −$11 -9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $150 +$82 +55%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $51 +$53 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$219
other 18% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $75 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $378 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $253 4h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $93 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $150 20h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $51 29h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $103 29h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $11 29h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $11 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+35.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +50.1% +35.8% 75% 75% +30.4%
≤30d 4 +50.1% +35.8% 75% 75% +30.4%
≤90d 4 +50.1% +35.8% 75% 75% +30.4%
all 4 +50.1% +35.8% 75% 75% +30.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +35.8% 75% +30.4%
10% +22.8% 75% +18.0%
15% +10.9% 75% +6.6%
20% +0.1% 50% -3.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.84 · official $31.84 (match) · 12 history records