Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:33:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa35…113d
crypto · 1306 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,725 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,725 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,725
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses663 / 958
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1621 / 1306
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day437.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1621 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,805
7 days−$1,725
14 days−$1,725
30 days−$1,725
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -179%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -132%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -226%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -25%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -164%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +595%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -210%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$185
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $8 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1621 -18.0% -25.8% 41% 34% -28.6%
≤30d 1621 -18.0% -25.8% 41% 34% -28.6%
≤90d 1621 -18.0% -25.8% 41% 34% -28.6%
all 1621 -18.0% -25.8% 41% 34% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover437.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.8% 34% -28.6%
10% ← realistic here -32.9% 26% -35.5%
15% -39.4% 20% -41.7%
20% -45.3% 15% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records