Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:42:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa32…a296
crypto · 1695 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$113 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$116 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,089
Realized−$116
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses842 / 774
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions34
Markets (closed)1616 / 1695
History coverage39d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day63.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 34 History 1616 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days+$110
14 days+$94
30 days+$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $65 $64 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? No 97¢ 95¢ $59 $58 −$1 (-2%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $55 $58 +$3 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $54 $55 +$1 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $49 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 99¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 99¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $50 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana reach $75 on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $49 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? No 98¢ 98¢ $49 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 13? No 99¢ 97¢ $49 $48 −$1 (-2%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 13? No 98¢ 96¢ $49 $48 −$1 (-2%)
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? No 99¢ 95¢ $49 $47 −$2 (-4%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $1.30 June 8-14? No 99¢ 97¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 8-14? No 99¢ 97¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? No 96¢ 98¢ $31 $32 +$1 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 94¢ 97¢ $28 $29 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? No 91¢ 95¢ $27 $29 +$1 (+5%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 92¢ 92¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? No 98¢ 97¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 89¢ 94¢ $20 $22 +$1 (+5%)
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 13? No 86¢ 93¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 88¢ 91¢ $13 $14 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 12? Jun 13 $12 +$3 +22%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $17 +$3 +19%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 12? Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $38 +$1 +2%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 12? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $12 +$3 +20%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 12? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $29 +$1 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 12? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 12? Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? Jun 12 $13 +$2 +18%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 12? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 11? Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 11? Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$110
finance 5% +$19
other 3% −$26
tech 1% +$2
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $65 1h
Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $40 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $50 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $31 1h
Will XRP reach $1.30 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $40 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 92¢ $28 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY No 78¢ $12 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? BUY No 64¢ $3 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 82¢ $12 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $49 1h
Will Solana reach $75 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $49 1h
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 13? BUY No 86¢ $13 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $49 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $40 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $30 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $29 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $49 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $26 11h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $5 11h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 89¢ $5 11h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 86¢ $4 11h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 89¢ $21 13h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $47 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 +4.5% -5.4% 96% 22% -6.3%
≤30d 658 -0.8% -10.2% 64% 37% -7.9%
≤90d 1616 -5.2% -14.3% 52% 40% -10.9%
all 1616 -5.2% -14.3% 52% 40% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 40% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 38% -19.4%
15% -30.0% 37% -27.2%
20% -36.8% 36% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,088.70 · official $1,088.34 (match) · 3500 history records