Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:31:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa30…ee40
sports · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$10
other 31% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $4 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $10 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 12h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-35.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -28.8% -35.6% 33% 33% -67.3%
≤30d 3 -28.8% -35.6% 33% 33% -67.3%
≤90d 3 -28.8% -35.6% 33% 33% -67.3%
all 3 -28.8% -35.6% 33% 33% -67.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.6% 33% -67.3%
10% -41.7% 33% -70.5%
15% -47.4% 33% -73.3%
20% -52.5% 33% -75.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.73 · official $23.73 (match) · 8 history records