Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:25:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa30…64cc
crypto · 94 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$75 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses24 / 63
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)87 / 94
History coverage65d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 7 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$4
14 days+$12
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists Yes 98¢ 96¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? Yes 53¢ 18¢ $11 $4 −$7 (-66%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? Yes 41¢ 3¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-93%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 8-14? Yes 20¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-90%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? Yes 15¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-91%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30? No 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 75,200 on May 23, 8AM ET? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 66,400 on June 2, 9PM ET? No 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26? No 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 74,600 on May 22, 10PM ET? No 1¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 16? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 2,105 on May 23, 9PM ET? No 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 75,000 on May 22, 10PM ET? No 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 74,400 on May 23, 8AM ET? No 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$3 +63%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? Jun 10 $2 +$2 +107%
Portugal leading at halftime? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -50%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $9 +$3 +38%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 El Salvador? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin above 66,400 on June 2, 9PM ET? Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 02 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin above 68,600 on June 2, 11AM ET? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners May 30 $4 +$1 +16%
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer May 30 $2 +$3 +180%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners May 30 $2 +$3 +122%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners May 30 $6 +$3 +57%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 31? May 30 $6 +$10 +159%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30? May 30 $2 +$11 +459%
Ethereum above 2,000 on May 29, 8PM ET? May 30 $0 +$1 +1150%
Ethereum above 2,000 on May 29, 7PM ET? May 29 $0 +$1 +2400%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30? May 28 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30? May 28 $4 −$4 -96%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31? May 28 $4 +$13 +321%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27? May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin above 77,000 on May 25, 7PM ET? May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 2,095 on May 25, 7PM ET? May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26? May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 2,100 on May 25, 5PM ET? May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 25, 3PM ET? May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 2,135 on May 23, 10PM ET? May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25? May 25 $6 $0 +2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? May 25 $15 −$4 -28%
Ethereum above 2,110 on May 25, 1PM ET? May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 25, 11AM ET? May 25 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum above 2,110 on May 25, 12PM ET? May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 2,140 on May 25, 12PM ET? May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25? May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 31? May 25 $6 −$6 -95%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25? May 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 24? May 24 $7 +$22 +296%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24? May 24 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin above 76,400 on May 23, 10PM ET? May 24 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 23, 10PM ET? May 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 23, 6PM ET? May 24 $0 +$9 +4662%
Bitcoin above 76,400 on May 23, 9PM ET? May 24 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 2,105 on May 23, 9PM ET? May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 2,120 on May 23, 8PM ET? May 24 $17 +$8 +45%
Bitcoin above 76,800 on May 23, 8PM ET? May 23 $2 +$1 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$83
world 10% +$4
other 7% −$1
sports 8% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists BUY Yes 98¢ $10 50m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL 0¢ $0 29h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 99¢ $9 29h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY 57¢ $1 32h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? SELL Yes 91¢ $5 2d
Portugal leading at halftime? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 2d
Portugal leading at halftime? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2d
Portugal leading at halftime? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 2d
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY Yes 41¢ $2 4d
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 4d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 4d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 4d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 8-14? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 4d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 6d
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 91¢ $5 6d
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 84¢ $5 6d
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $7 6d
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 60¢ $2 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? BUY Yes 53¢ $11 6d
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 El Salvador? BUY Yes 19¢ $4 6d
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $2 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -38.0% -43.9% 33% 33% -21.4%
≤30d 64 +80.1% +62.9% 33% 30% -28.4%
≤90d 87 +39.7% +26.4% 28% 25% -31.2%
all 87 +39.7% +26.4% 28% 25% -31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +26.4% 25% -31.2%
10% +14.3% 23% -37.8%
15% +3.2% 22% -43.8%
20% -6.9% 16% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.59 · official $13.59 (match) · 202 history records