Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa28…090b
weather · 288 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,817 +408%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$237 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$237
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses315 / 390
Open positions15
Markets (closed)705 / 288
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day461.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 705 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$364
7 days−$241
14 days−$237
30 days−$237
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+133%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? Yes 9¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+36%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-59%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15? Yes 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+336%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22? Yes 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+170%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-79%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+58%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-40%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14? Yes 16¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+525%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7? Yes 18¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+456%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22? Yes 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+300%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16? Yes 2¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6148%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 26? Yes 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+203%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 27? Yes 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+156%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9? Yes 27¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+270%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-13%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25? Yes 19¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+426%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 24? Yes 5¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1927%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-67%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29? Yes 13¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+669%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? Yes 0¢ 3¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+623%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ma Jun 14 $0 +$2 +1018%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +178%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +816%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1024%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16? Jun 14 $0 $0 +6213%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 26? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +753%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 27? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +783%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25? Jun 14 $0 +$2 +5213%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 24? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +7769%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29? Jun 14 $0 $0 +669%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? Jun 14 $4 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 15? Jun 14 $0 +$2 +1652%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 3? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 20? Jun 14 $5 −$8 -184%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 13? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 20? Jun 14 $0 +$3 +28763%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 16? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 23? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 12? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -38%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 26 Jun 14 $0 +$2 +13656%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 21? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on May 8? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 5? Jun 14 $0 $0 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 3? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ma Jun 14 $1 −$1 -118%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 3? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +98%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29? Jun 14 $4 −$3 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 27? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +123%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22? Jun 14 $10 −$11 -114%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 25? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 22? Jun 14 $1 $0 +60%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30? Jun 14 $0 +$5 +3414%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 9? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -93%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 16? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 30? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -42%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22? Jun 14 $10 −$12 -125%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 12? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 11 Jun 14 $1 +$6 +1025%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 30? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1141%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +728%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Ap Jun 14 $0 +$6 +1206%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 7? Jun 14 $5 −$4 -74%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ma Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 14? Jun 14 $4 −$10 -238%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 29? Jun 14 $0 +$3 +2007%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ma Jun 14 $0 $0 -250%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 26? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21? Jun 14 $4 −$5 -141%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 0m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 13m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 14? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 19m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 22m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 22m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 25m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 25m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 25m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 25m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 26m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 26m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 26m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 26m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 27m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 27m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 27m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+132.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 699 +157.4% +132.9% 44% 39% -19.7%
≤30d 705 +157.2% +132.7% 45% 40% -19.4%
≤90d 705 +157.2% +132.7% 45% 40% -19.4%
all 705 +157.2% +132.7% 45% 40% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover461.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +132.7% 40% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here +110.4% 35% -27.1%
15% +90.1% 30% -34.2%
20% +71.4% 27% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.91 · official $19.02 · 3500 history records