Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:12:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AA 0xaa1a…0602 crypto 47 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1182 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$1,512 (+7%) realized +$1,512 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +34% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +3% what you keep after slip
Net edge+3%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate50%25W / 25L
Whale WR31%big bets
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$456per market
Trades / day1182.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$778
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1182 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +34.1% +21.3% 50% 24% -8.6%
≤30d 50 +34.1% +21.3% 50% 24% -8.6%
≤90d 50 +34.1% +21.3% 50% 24% -8.6%
all 50 +34.1% +21.3% 50% 24% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1182.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.3% 24% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here +9.7% 4% -17.4%
15% -0.9% 2% -25.4%
20% -10.6% 2% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 41% · top 2 50% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +34% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 31% (≥$537) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +80% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
73.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$73 vs −$43 · ×1.72 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.72 per $1 lost it wins $1.72
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,512
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses25 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 47
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$456
Trades / day1182.1
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $850 −$138 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $522 −$13 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $538 −$104 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $657 −$14 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $443 −$12 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $673 −$50 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $537 +$157 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $742 −$24 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $432 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $672 −$86 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $497 +$18 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $373 +$81 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $288 +$45 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $435 +$23 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $183 −$37 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $805 +$119 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $526 −$27 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $295 +$32 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $282 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $346 −$16 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $844 −$17 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$10 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $510 −$81 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $281 +$13 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $353 −$46 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $458 +$48 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $529 +$97 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $589 +$68 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $256 +$54 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $480 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$37 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $422 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $456 +$73 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $391 −$93 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $418 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $435 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $498 −$21 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $521 −$60 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $341 +$30 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $537 +$102 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $228 +$28 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $414 +$21 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $320 −$40 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $579 +$18 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $590 −$35 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $559 −$100 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$754 +7691%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records