trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 44% | 11% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 44% | 11% | -9.0% |
| all | 22 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 41% | 9% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.1% | 9% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -14.2% | 5% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 5% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 5% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 31 | $71 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $14 | +$3 | +22% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 28 | $4 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 28 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in March 2025? | Mar 31 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28? | Mar 30 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 27 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Mar 22 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Davidson vs. Loyola Chicago | Mar 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Colorado vs. Texas Tech | Mar 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get >46m viewers? | Mar 04 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| Oklahoma State vs. UCF | Mar 04 | $26 | −$8 | -31% |
| Rutgers vs. Washington | Mar 04 | $8 | +$17 | +223% |