Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:56:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa9ee…1794 crypto 127 markets active 3d ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate54%69W / 58L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day46.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$11
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -8.0% -16.7% 53% 51% -16.9%
≤30d 127 -9.7% -18.3% 54% 50% -16.7%
≤90d 127 -9.7% -18.3% 54% 50% -16.7%
all 127 -9.7% -18.3% 54% 50% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 50% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 27% -24.6%
15% -33.3% 7% -31.9%
20% -39.8% 3% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses69 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)127 / 127
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 127 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -79%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -45%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -84%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -59%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 414 history records