Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9ec…53a4
crypto · 1106 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$129 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses500 / 606
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1106 / 1106
History coverage94d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$7
14 days−$0
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $57 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 06 $12 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 05 $19 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 05 $19 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 05 $8 +$11 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$4 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 04 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 30 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET May 21 $5 +$3 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET May 20 $4 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET May 20 $4 −$2 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET May 20 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET May 20 $3 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET May 20 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET May 20 $2 +$2 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET May 20 $7 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET May 20 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET May 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET May 20 $8 −$4 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET May 20 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 19 $3 +$3 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 19 $2 −$1 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 19 $3 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -0.2% -9.7% 52% 14% -10.3%
≤30d 61 +11.9% +1.2% 62% 44% -7.9%
≤90d 1105 -5.0% -14.1% 45% 41% -11.8%
all 1106 -4.9% -14.0% 45% 41% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 41% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 38% -20.2%
15% -29.7% 33% -27.9%
20% -36.6% 28% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2598 history records