Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:20:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9e3…706f
sports · 293 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$8,547 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,096 · open +$169
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,679
Realized+$8,096
Unrealized+$169
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses206 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$696
Open positions5
Markets (closed)288 / 293
History coverage228d
Avg bet$882
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 5 History 288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$707
7 days+$845
14 days−$6,324
30 days−$634
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 68¢ 84¢ $5,410 $6,721 +$1,312 (+24%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 61¢ 67¢ $400 $439 +$39 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 72¢ 34¢ $700 $328 −$372 (-53%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 75¢ 28¢ $500 $190 −$310 (-62%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 82¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 74¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 85¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 75¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 93¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $101 +$74 +73%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3,035 +$927 +30%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $291 −$290 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $604 −$93 -15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $402 +$76 +19%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,004 −$2,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $504 −$202 -40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,007 +$312 +31%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $507 −$143 -28%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $806 −$800 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $202 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $504 +$199 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$31 +31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $403 +$123 +30%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $252 +$9 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$64 +32%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $251 −$50 -20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $606 +$148 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,006 +$244 +24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $705 +$236 +34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $302 +$82 +27%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$29 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $301 +$55 +18%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $302 +$77 +26%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$25 +12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $604 −$30 -5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $151 +$43 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,105 +$202 +18%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$31 +31%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $202 −$7 -3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $301 +$28 +9%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$20 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $311 +$195 +63%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $404 −$19 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$55 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $302 +$69 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $302 +$82 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $102 −$56 -55%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $101 +$60 +60%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $102 +$168 +165%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$17 +17%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $1,003 +$84 +8%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $101 +$33 +32%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $202 +$69 +34%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $302 +$70 +23%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $36 +$62 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$3,656
other 27% +$3,682
world 9% +$648
crypto 3% +$279
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 82¢ $503 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 73¢ $202 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 76¢ $201 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $302 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $504 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 57¢ $101 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $109 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 70¢ $202 15h
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL Yes 83¢ $206 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $404 15h
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL Yes 83¢ $413 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $405 15h
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL Yes 83¢ $413 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 85¢ $291 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $1,004 16h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $466 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $478 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 94¢ $1,002 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 46¢ $302 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 93¢ $1,002 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $1,319 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 75¢ $504 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $100 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 85¢ $100 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 82¢ $101 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 80¢ $201 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $202 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $201 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $202 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $303 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +6.1% -4.0% 73% 65% -7.2%
≤30d 167 +1.7% -8.0% 72% 61% -10.3%
≤90d 263 -4.8% -13.9% 70% 54% -9.3%
all 288 -2.0% -11.3% 72% 55% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 55% -6.6%
10% -19.8% 34% -15.5%
15% -27.5% 18% -23.7%
20% -34.7% 8% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,679.15 · official $7,679.21 (match) · 1019 history records