Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:00:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9e2…ed24
crypto · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses57 / 51
Open positions0
Markets (closed)108 / 108
History coverage5d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -0.5% -10.0% 53% 50% -9.1%
≤30d 108 -0.5% -10.0% 53% 50% -9.1%
≤90d 108 -0.5% -10.0% 53% 50% -9.1%
all 108 -0.5% -10.0% 53% 50% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 50% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 35% -17.8%
15% -26.4% 20% -25.7%
20% -33.7% 9% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 213 history records