Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:12:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa9df…0252 crypto 140 markets active 1h ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate48%67W / 73L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day3.9pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$23
14 days+$23
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 48% −$11
sports 34% +$11
other 17% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -0.1% -9.6% 49% 44% -3.1%
≤30d 71 -1.5% -10.9% 48% 44% -5.3%
≤90d 140 -10.4% -19.0% 48% 42% -11.0%
all 140 -10.4% -19.0% 48% 42% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.0% 42% -11.0%
10% -26.7% 41% -19.5%
15% -33.8% 36% -27.3%
20% -40.3% 32% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -21% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$7 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses67 / 73
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)140 / 140
History coverage62d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 140 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$14 +130%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals Jun 17 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$23 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$16 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$5 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$6 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $71 +$66 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $24 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +105%
Belgium leading at halftime? Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$26 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 1h
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals SELL Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals SELL Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 0¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $33 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 282 history records