trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Down | 59¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 31¢ | 0¢ | $23 | $0 | −$23 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $25 | −$23 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $17 | +$16 | +94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $13 | −$1 | -7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | −$1 | -11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | +$2 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | +$5 | +47% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 50% | 50% | -16.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 50% | 50% | -16.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 50% | 50% | -16.3% |
| all | 10 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 50% | 50% | -16.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -15.2% | 50% | -16.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -23.3% | 40% | -24.3% |
| 15% | -30.7% | 40% | -31.6% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 20% | -38.3% |