Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9cf…e14b
sports · 156 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$263 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$266 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$266
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses73 / 72
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions11
Markets (closed)145 / 156
History coverage25d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 11 History 145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$21
14 days−$95
30 days−$266
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 79¢ 100¢ $9 $12 +$2 (+26%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 87¢ 90¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 55¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+30%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 82¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 78¢ 80¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 69¢ 69¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 81¢ 73¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 30¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Knicks 38¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Sweden 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Tung-Lin Wu 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Under 3.5 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 23¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5 Under 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +77%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +64%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +12%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Jun 10 $4 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 08 $60 −$2 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $9 +$1 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 +$2 +49%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $5 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $4 +$2 +38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $10 +$2 +20%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $20 +$14 +70%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $5 +$4 +86%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 06 $10 +$10 +101%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 06 $10 +$11 +109%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $36 −$35 -98%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $5 +$5 +97%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $45 +$31 +67%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 −$20 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $30 +$3 +11%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $40 +$6 +15%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $5 +$9 +180%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 +$7 +73%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $20 +$5 +28%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 05 $5 +$6 +124%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $10 +$3 +32%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -96%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF end in a draw? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$322
crypto 23% +$11
other 11% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 80¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 78¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $5 2h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 82¢ $5 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Knicks 38¢ $2 7h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 89¢ $4 21h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 94¢ $7 36h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 46¢ $3 37h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $5 37h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 69¢ $5 38h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 41h
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $5 42h
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 60¢ $3 42h
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 69¢ $5 42h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 SELL Under 92¢ $8 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 SELL Over 68¢ $7 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 82¢ $8 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? SELL No 97¢ $5 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? SELL No 90¢ $4 3d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 63¢ $4 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 51¢ $5 3d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 3d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 48¢ $5 3d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 49¢ $5 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? BUY No 86¢ $4 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY No 85¢ $4 3d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 76¢ $59 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 54¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -1.0% -10.5% 66% 59% -1.6%
≤30d 145 -12.8% -21.1% 50% 45% -22.6%
≤90d 145 -12.8% -21.1% 50% 45% -22.6%
all 145 -12.8% -21.1% 50% 45% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.1% 45% -22.6%
10% -28.6% 41% -30.0%
15% -35.5% 35% -36.8%
20% -41.8% 26% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.81 · official $56.16 (match) · 328 history records