Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9c9…d487
sports · 843 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$796 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$762 · open −$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$20
Realized−$762
Unrealized−$36
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses235 / 602
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions6
Markets (closed)837 / 843
Avg bet$7
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 6 History 837 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days+$20
14 days−$33
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 32¢ 26¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-18%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 41¢ 38¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-95%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner Fnatic 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffs Zomblers 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Astralis 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Playoffs PCIFIC 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage los kogutos 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A HEROIC Academy 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Lakers Bulls 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Legacy 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Sinners 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Jazz Jazz 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Nuggets Nuggets 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Alliance 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 32¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner Team Liquid 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: East Asian Closed Qualifier Playoffs Chinggis Warriors 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season MVK Esports 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 −$10 -70%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$19 +203%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $14 −$7 -49%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 +$10 +101%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $6 +$15 +238%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 10 $8 −$1 -9%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 10 $19 +$8 +40%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 10 $11 +$17 +148%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $8 +$21 +262%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $12 +$2 +14%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $10 +$1 +8%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $12 −$12 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $17 +$7 +39%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 08 $9 +$8 +83%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $9 +$30 +325%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $8 −$8 -98%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $9 −$9 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $11 +$34 +299%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 −$13 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Group B Jun 02 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 G Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $11 −$3 -27%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Q May 31 $20 −$20 -98%
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner May 31 $6 +$41 +660%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner May 31 $6 −$6 -97%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $8 −$7 -81%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $15 −$15 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 May 25 $8 −$8 -98%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 24 $9 −$6 -67%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualif May 24 $13 −$9 -68%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner May 24 $4 +$8 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$775
other 2% −$17
tech 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 11¢ $4 9m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 41¢ $8 27m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $0 44m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 21¢ $8 56m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 27¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 93¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 1¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 60¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 48¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 25¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 39¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 35¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 36¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 51¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 39¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 26¢ $9 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri BUY Virtus.pro 26¢ $5 23h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 42¢ $7 23h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 56¢ $18 23h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $7 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 32¢ $9 25h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 94¢ $20 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $10 34h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 34¢ $4 42h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 40¢ $6 42h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group BUY KOLESIE 43¢ $7 42h
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? SELL Yes 36¢ $7 43h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY XLG Gaming 29¢ $6 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.7% -10.1% 38% 34% -3.6%
≤30d 111 -23.0% -30.3% 24% 23% -28.7%
≤90d 183 -18.4% -26.1% 26% 26% -26.6%
all 837 -15.3% -23.3% 28% 28% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.3% 28% -21.2%
10% -30.7% 27% -28.8%
15% -37.4% 27% -35.6%
20% -43.5% 26% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.96 · official $19.96 (match) · 1598 history records