trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 33% | 33% | -75.8% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +67.1% | +51.2% | 62% | 62% | +35.3% |
| ≤90d | 55 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 40% | 38% | +6.0% |
| all | 178 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 36% | 35% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.1% | 35% | -6.7% |
| 10% | -25.9% | 35% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -33.1% | 33% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 30% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $32 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $27 | −$27 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $15 | +$8 | +55% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $3 | +$11 | +365% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $31 | +$53 | +172% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $42 | +$92 | +216% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 06 | $46 | −$45 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $10 | +$19 | +188% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $59 | +$98 | +166% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $86 | +$86 | +100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $15 | −$8 | -54% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 12 | $8 | +$6 | +70% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 30 | $6 | +$2 | +42% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $3 | +$2 | +83% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Apr 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Apr 11 | $2 | +$2 | +124% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Apr 10 | $3 | +$3 | +105% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 09 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Apr 08 | $3 | +$3 | +97% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 08 | $3 | +$3 | +101% |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Apr 06 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Apr 06 | $2 | +$1 | +62% |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Apr 06 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Apr 06 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | Apr 05 | $5 | +$5 | +91% |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Apr 02 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 02 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Suns vs. Magic | Apr 02 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Apr 02 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Apr 02 | $1 | +$5 | +548% |
| Bucks vs. Rockets | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Apr 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericks | Apr 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Apr 01 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Apr 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $3 | +$2 | +73% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Mar 31 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Mar 31 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Nets | Mar 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Mar 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY Yes | 58¢ | $25 | 1h |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY Yes | 23¢ | $3 | 12h |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY Yes | 22¢ | $8 | 12h |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY Yes | 23¢ | $20 | 22h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY Yes | 53¢ | $30 | 22h |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY Yes | 51¢ | $27 | 22h |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $15 | 2d |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 21¢ | $3 | 4d |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $35 | 4d |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $10 | 7d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 36¢ | $31 | 15d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL Knicks | 100¢ | $134 | 15d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 31¢ | $42 | 15d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 55¢ | $46 | 20d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 34¢ | $10 | 21d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 37¢ | $39 | 22d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 37¢ | $10 | 22d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 36¢ | $10 | 25d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | SELL Spurs | 100¢ | $172 | 26d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 45¢ | $30 | 26d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Spurs | 52¢ | $56 | 26d |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY Cavaliers | 33¢ | $5 | 36d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 18¢ | $5 | 45d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 21¢ | $5 | 45d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | SELL Lakers | 20¢ | $7 | 45d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 15¢ | $5 | 45d |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY Knicks | 58¢ | $8 | 56d |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 70¢ | $6 | 58d |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY Lakers | 45¢ | $5 | 60d |
| Thunder vs. Suns | BUY Suns | 22¢ | $2 | 62d |