Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9c4…7433
sports · 160 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$92,486 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142,795 · open +$50,308
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$110,427
Realized−$142,795
Unrealized+$50,308
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses60 / 147
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$14,800
Open positions5
Markets (closed)207 / 160
History coverage22d
Avg bet$6,424
Trades / day152.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 207 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$187,442
7 days−$235,641
14 days−$138,235
30 days−$142,795
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 100¢ $39,451 $83,984 +$44,533 (+113%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 43¢ 100¢ $11,163 $25,914 +$14,752 (+132%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 66¢ 74¢ $381 $430 +$49 (+13%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 43¢ 0¢ $8,411 $98 −$8,312 (-99%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 48¢ 0¢ $713 $1 −$712 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Raphael Collignon 26¢ 0¢ $2,891 $0 −$2,891 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert 28¢ 0¢ $13,210 $0 −$13,210 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 45¢ 0¢ $3,153 $0 −$3,153 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 30¢ 0¢ $1,025 $0 −$1,025 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 35¢ 0¢ $4,214 $0 −$4,214 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 40¢ 0¢ $4,908 $0 −$4,908 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 73¢ 0¢ $6,395 $0 −$6,395 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 18¢ 0¢ $7,000 $0 −$7,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Sharks 27¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 34¢ 0¢ $1,144 $0 −$1,144 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Martin Landaluce 25¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 34¢ 0¢ $320 $0 −$320 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 47¢ 0¢ $10,410 $0 −$10,410 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton Marcos Giron 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 27¢ 0¢ $698 $0 −$698 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 66¢ 0¢ $10,714 $0 −$10,714 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova Liudmila Samsonova 35¢ 0¢ $1,272 $0 −$1,272 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 40¢ 0¢ $938 $0 −$938 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs TLN Pirates 44¢ 0¢ $9,671 $0 −$9,671 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev Pablo Llamas Ruiz 31¢ 0¢ $2,756 $0 −$2,756 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $2,891 −$2,891 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Jun 12 $13,210 −$13,210 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $4,214 −$4,214 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 12 $159 −$141 -89%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $320 −$320 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $10,714 −$10,714 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 12 $1,272 −$1,272 -100%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs Jun 12 $9,671 −$9,671 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 12 $2,756 −$2,756 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $1,330 −$1,330 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Jun 12 $3,157 −$3,157 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $3,596 −$3,596 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $1,041 −$1,041 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Titouan Droguet Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $3,480 −$3,480 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Jun 12 $3,040 −$3,040 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $13,937 −$13,937 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic Jun 12 $11,200 −$11,200 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $2,440 −$2,395 -98%
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $1,066 −$1,066 -100%
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas Jun 12 $1,696 −$1,696 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 12 $1,683 −$1,602 -95%
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega Jun 12 $704 −$704 -100%
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $2,740 −$2,740 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar Jun 12 $1,753 −$1,753 -100%
Geneva Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jaume Munar Jun 12 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 12 $6,591 −$6,591 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 12 $862 −$862 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 12 $12,259 −$12,259 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 12 $13,050 −$13,050 -100%
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $5,538 −$5,538 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Jun 12 $4,815 −$4,815 -100%
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playo Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $3,794 −$3,794 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko Jun 12 $2,766 −$2,766 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $1,951 −$1,951 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka Jun 12 $1,578 −$1,578 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $9,979 −$9,979 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet Jun 12 $2,366 −$2,366 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fok Jun 12 $2,361 −$2,361 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $348 −$348 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $13,511 −$13,511 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $1,090 −$1,090 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 12 $1,934 −$1,934 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Jun 12 $567 −$567 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$106,591
other 1% −$11,840
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $381 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $193 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $13 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $12 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $36 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $13 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $13 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $13 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $13 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $6 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $13 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $1 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $23 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 57¢ $66 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 57¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $225 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $1,656 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $840 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $420 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $35 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $708 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $12 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $286 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $12 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $12 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $2 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 11¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -66.4% -69.6% 15% 15% -46.2%
≤30d 207 -27.4% -34.3% 29% 28% -20.7%
≤90d 207 -27.4% -34.3% 29% 28% -20.7%
all 207 -27.4% -34.3% 29% 28% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.3% 28% -20.7%
10% -40.6% 26% -28.3%
15% ← realistic here -46.3% 24% -35.2%
20% -51.6% 22% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $110,426.94 · official $110,426.94 (match) · 3500 history records