Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9af…dd61
crypto · 1397 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,863 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,863 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,863
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses646 / 874
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1520 / 1397
History coverage23d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day119.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1520 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,737
7 days−$1,737
14 days−$1,739
30 days−$1,863
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$20 -3834%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$10 -580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$29 -5789%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$10 -402%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$199
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $29 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $37 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $36 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $40 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $13 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $29 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $32 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -74.9% -77.3% 13% 10% -56.7%
≤30d 1520 -10.8% -19.3% 42% 42% -20.1%
≤90d 1520 -10.8% -19.3% 42% 42% -20.1%
all 1520 -10.8% -19.3% 42% 42% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover119.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 42% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 42% -27.7%
15% -34.1% 41% -34.7%
20% -40.6% 41% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records