Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9ab…f325
crypto · 750 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,888 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,888 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,888
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses553 / 285
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)838 / 750
History coverage16d
Avg bet$78
Trades / day174.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 838 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,349
7 days−$2,772
14 days−$3,070
30 days−$2,888
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $275 −$275 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$751
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $46 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $18 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $41 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $19 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $18 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $50 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 350 -15.3% -23.3% 59% 29% -21.0%
≤30d 838 -5.4% -14.4% 66% 33% -13.8%
≤90d 838 -5.4% -14.4% 66% 33% -13.8%
all 838 -5.4% -14.4% 66% 33% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover174.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 33% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 22% -22.0%
15% -30.1% 15% -29.6%
20% -36.9% 10% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records