Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa996…e251
weather · 464 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$97
Realized−$25
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses390 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)463 / 464
History coverage156d
Avg bet$725
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 1 History 463 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$7
14 days−$47
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? No 97¢ 94¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? Yes 76¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Aryna Sabalenka 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Cavaliers 72¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6? No 94¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? No 84¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5? No 96¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31? Yes 87¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29? No 79¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13? Yes 88¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-26? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25? No 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $101 +$13 +13%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $100 +$7 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $101 +$12 +12%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? Jun 09 $100 +$6 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8? Jun 09 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8? Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8? Jun 09 $101 +$15 +15%
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Jun 07 $3 −$2 -66%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? Jun 07 $200 +$10 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? Jun 07 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 6? Jun 07 $100 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 6? Jun 06 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6? Jun 05 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5? Jun 05 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5? Jun 05 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? Jun 05 $101 +$14 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 5? Jun 05 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5? Jun 04 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? Jun 04 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4? Jun 04 $100 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3? Jun 04 $100 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4? Jun 04 $100 +$6 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 4? Jun 04 $101 +$11 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3? Jun 04 $101 +$12 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 2? Jun 03 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 1? Jun 03 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1? Jun 03 $100 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2? Jun 03 $100 +$9 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2? Jun 03 $101 +$13 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 1? Jun 01 $100 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31? Jun 01 $100 +$6 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31? Jun 01 $101 +$13 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1? Jun 01 $101 +$19 +18%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? May 31 $10 +$1 +14%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives i May 31 $80 +$4 +4%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? May 31 $20 +$2 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31? May 31 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30? May 31 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30? May 31 $100 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29? May 30 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29? May 30 $100 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 90% +$356
other 4% −$273
weather 4% +$125
sports 1% −$228
politics 1% −$27
finance 0% +$31
culture 0% +$11
crypto 0% −$24
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY No 84¢ $101 18h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $100 18h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $100 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? BUY No 88¢ $101 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $100 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? BUY No 93¢ $100 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $104 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $106 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $100 3d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10? BUY No 89¢ $101 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? BUY No 96¢ $100 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? BUY No 95¢ $100 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? SELL No 100¢ $106 3d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 9? BUY No 98¢ $100 4d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? BUY No 99¢ $100 4d
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? BUY No 94¢ $100 4d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8? BUY No 98¢ $100 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8? BUY No 99¢ $100 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8? BUY No 86¢ $101 5d
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? SELL No 100¢ $210 5d
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? BUY No 95¢ $100 6d
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? BUY No 95¢ $100 6d
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6? BUY No 94¢ $100 7d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 6? BUY No 96¢ $100 7d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? BUY No 98¢ $100 7d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 6? BUY No 97¢ $100 7d
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $102 7d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $103 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -3.7% -12.8% 90% 14% -9.8%
≤30d 86 -3.7% -12.9% 90% 22% -9.8%
≤90d 210 -1.8% -11.2% 87% 30% -9.0%
all 463 -3.0% -12.2% 84% 31% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 31% -9.5%
10% -20.6% 14% -18.2%
15% -28.3% 8% -26.1%
20% -35.3% 5% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $97.37 · official $97.37 (match) · 1017 history records